Some of you have heard me in the last few years telling stories about transfers of Chinese labor-intensive manufacturing activities to Africa, to Ethiopia in particular. Read here my former World Bank colleague - ex-Chief Economist - Justin Lin and Andrea Goldstein on it
terça-feira, 28 de fevereiro de 2017
quinta-feira, 23 de fevereiro de 2017
quarta-feira, 22 de fevereiro de 2017
Kenneth Arrow (1921-2017)
"A 'social welfare function' representing a set of 'social indifference curves' belongs not to 'we' but to whoever writes down, or imagines, the preferences of 'society.'"
Kenneth Arrow
Kenneth Arrow
Professor Arrow, one of the most brilliant minds in his field during the 20th…
NYTIMES.COM|POR MICHAEL M. WEINSTEIN
Estrutura do balanço de pagamentos pelo Banco Central
O balanço de pagamentos é o registro estatístico de todas as transações – fluxo de bens e direitos de valor econômico – entre os residentes de uma economia e o restante do mundo, ocorridos em determinado período de tempo.
A série temporal de balanço de pagamentos do Brasil foi elaborada seguindo as diretrizes conceituais estabelecidas na 5ª edição do Manual de Balanço de Pagamentos do Fundo Monetário Internacional - FMI. Esta série está associada a outras que dela são componentes:
- Balança comercial
- Serviços
- Transportes
- Viagens internacionais
- Seguros
- Serviços governamentais
- Serviços financeiros
- Computação e informação
- Royalties e licenças
- Aluguel de equipamentos
- Serviços de comunicações
- Serviços de construção
- Serviços relativos ao comércio
- Serviços empresariais, profissionais e técnicos
- Serviços pessoais, culturais e recreação
- Serviços diversos
- Rendas
- Transferências unilaterais correntes
terça-feira, 21 de fevereiro de 2017
Trump's ignorância sobre a economia
On some issues, Trump’s limited knowledge has justifiably scared people — nuclear weapons, for example. Last August, Think Progress published a list of “9 terrifying things Donald Trump has publicly said about nuclear weapons,” which betrayed his ignorance across a wide range of basic nuclear issues. But his equally ignorant bluster on economics hasn’t been noticed as much — even though it could also prove catastrophically destructive. Here are seven striking examples that should make his ignorance clear to all.
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domingo, 19 de fevereiro de 2017
A economia não é uma máquina
Pointing out that the GDP machine isn’t a real machine, and that its levers, pedals, knobs, and buttons are largely imaginary fancies of arrogant imaginations, market-oriented economists invite the scorn of Engineering economists.
Macri's Argentina
A Big Year for Macri’s Argentina
Macri’s early months as president were well received by investors, who applauded his strident attempts to reform Argentina’s sclerotic economy,
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sábado, 18 de fevereiro de 2017
O caminho da complexidade econômica do Brasil
Para entender de maneira simples porque o Brasil “não deu certo”: avanço e regressão da complexidade produtiva
http://www.paulogala.com.br/curso-para-entender-de-maneira…/
http://www.paulogala.com.br/curso-para-entender-de-maneira…/
sexta-feira, 17 de fevereiro de 2017
Decadência argentina
Potencial do Brasil
quinta-feira, 16 de fevereiro de 2017
Liberdade econômica do Brasil
neoliberalismo.
Lançada hoje, a versão 2017 do Índice de Liberdade Econômica da Heritage…
ilisp.org|Por Marcelo Faria
Custo de manutenção also demais
Feb. 16 (UPI) -- Brazil's navy will decommission its sole aircraft carrier, Sao Paulo, after concluding the vessel's maintenance costs are too high. Navy officials made the decision to retire the aircraft carrier after studies revealed it would take 10 years to upgrade the ship. IHS Janes reports the country will make procuring a replacement the service's third-highest priority after its submarine and Tamandaré-class corvette programs. In the future, the navy plans to domestically construct two new aircraft carriers, each displacing roughly 50,000 tons at sea. According to Brazilian newspaper Estadão, Sao Paulo's demobilization process will begin immediately, and is expected to be complete by ...
quarta-feira, 15 de fevereiro de 2017
Hiperinflação na América?
After seeing the latest string of events unfold right before our eyes, many are openly pondering whether we may see hyperinflation hit the US shores. But...
huffingtonpost.com
Como Europa tornou-se rica
This is how Europe became the richest place on earth: by being politically…
terça-feira, 14 de fevereiro de 2017
Nova edição da "Sinopse Econômica"
Nova edição da "Sinopse Econômica"
CAFECOMDADOS.COM
http://cafecomdados.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/boletim_0217.pdf
segunda-feira, 13 de fevereiro de 2017
domingo, 12 de fevereiro de 2017
Complexidade da economia brasileira
: regressão da complexidade produtiva do Brasil
http://www.paulogala.com.br/a-preocupante-regressao-tecnol…/
http://www.paulogala.com.br/a-preocupante-regressao-tecnol…/
sábado, 11 de fevereiro de 2017
Crescimento econômico
Nesta entrevista para o UM BRASIL, Otaviano Canuto, diretor executivo do Banco Mundial, conversa com…
youtube.com
Crescimento com crédito
O crescimento econômico alavancado somente pelo crédito não é sustentável no longo prazo e deve ser acompanhado do investimento privado para render benefícios duradouros, afirma Otaviano Canuto, diretor-executivo do Banco Mundial.
Economia brasileira
Diretor executivo do Banco Mundial diz que País precisa se integrar ainda mais ao comércio mundial
fecomercio.com.br
sexta-feira, 10 de fevereiro de 2017
Excesso de estudos acadêmicos
Uma epidemia de estudos inúteis
Cientistas dos EUA, Reino Unido e Holanda denunciam que a pesquisa está perdendo parte de sua credibilidade
Excesso de tratamentos medicinais
At a conference in San Diego experts say more must be done to curb a growing trend of medical overuse that often subjects patients to unneeded surgeries, tests and medications.
SANDIEGOUNIONTRIBUNE.COM|POR PAUL SISSON
quinta-feira, 9 de fevereiro de 2017
quarta-feira, 8 de fevereiro de 2017
Por que financiamento público da inovação não funciona
Boulevard of Broken Dreams:
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terça-feira, 7 de fevereiro de 2017
A "Lei de Okun" para a economia espanhola
Gráfico da Semana - Café com Dados
Em seu artigo original de 1962, Arthur Okun foi o primeiro a notar uma relação negativa estável entre desemprego e produto real. A partir desta relação, que é sobretudo empírica, o nome de Okun foi, mais tarde, associado ao que hoje conhecemos por Lei de Okun. Sabemos que é rara a denominação de “lei” para uma relação macroeconômica. No entanto, será que ela continua válida nos dias atuais? Embora a capacidade de resposta do mercado de trabalho às flutuações do produto varie de país para país, olhemos o caso da Espanha.
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Livre comércio na perspectiva dos clássicos
DAVID HUME: "Nothing is more usual, among states which have made some advances in commerce, than to look on the progress of their neighbours with a suspicious eye, to consider all trading states as their rivals, and to suppose that it is impossible for any of them to flourish, but at their expence. In opposition to this narrow and malignant opinion, I will venture to assert, that the encrease of riches and commerce in any one nation, instead of hurting, commonly promotes the riches and commerce of all its neighbours; and that a state can scarcely carry its trade and industry very far, where all the surrounding states are buried in ignorance, sloth, and barbarism. It is obvious, that the domestic industry of a people cannot be hurt by the greatest prosperity of their neighbours; and as this branch of commerce is undoubtedly the most important in any extensive kingdom, we are so far removed from all reason of jealousy. But I go farther, and observe, that where an open communication is preserved among nations, it is impossible but the domestic industry of every one must receive an encrease from the improvements of the others."
FRÉDERIC BASTIAT: "The one thing that people overlook is that the sort of dependence that results from exchange, i.e., from commercial transactions, is a reciprocal dependence. We cannot be dependent upon a foreigner without his being dependent upon us. Now, this is what constitutes the very essence of society. To sever natural interrelations is not to make oneself independent, but to isolate oneself completely."
DAVID RICARDO: "Under a system of perfectly free commerce, each country naturally devotes its capital and labour to such employments as are most beneficial to each. This pursuit of individual advantage is admirably connected with the universal good of the whole. By stimulating industry, by rewarding ingenuity, and by using most efficaciously the peculiar powers bestowed by nature, it distributes labour most effectively and most economically: while, by increasing the general mass of productions, it diffuses general benefit, and binds together by one common tie of interest and intercourse, the universal society of nations throughout the civilized world."
ADAM SMITH: "The balance of produce and consumption may be constantly in favour of a nation, though what is called the balance of trade be generally against it. A nation may import to a greater value than it exports for half a century, perhaps, together; the gold and silver which comes into it during an this time may be all immediately sent out of it; its circulating coin may gradually decay, different sorts of paper money being substituted in its place, and even the debts, too, which it contracts in the principal nations with whom it deals, may be gradually increasing; and yet its real wealth, the exchangeable value of the annual produce of its lands and labour, may, during the same period, have been increasing in a much greater proportion. The state of our North American colonies, and of the trade which they carried on with Great Britain, before the commencement of the present disturbances, may serve as a proof that this is by no means an impossible supposition."
segunda-feira, 6 de fevereiro de 2017
Automatização e trabalho
Zurich Lecture of Economics in Society by Prof. David Autor, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
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