quinta-feira, 14 de julho de 2011

Os limites da dívida publica

Reinhart e Rogoff explicam: "... At what point does indebtedness become a problem? In our study “Growth in a Time of Debt,” we found relatively little association between public liabilities and growth for debt levels of less than 90 percent of GDP. But burdens above 90 percent are associated with 1 percent lower median growth. Our results are based on a data set of public debt covering 44 countries for up to 200 years. The annual data set incorporates more than 3,700 observations spanning a wide range of political and historical circumstances, legal structures and monetary regimes..."
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Gráficos:
U.S. Public & Private Debt as Percentage of GDP 1916-2009
U.S. Debt as Percentage of GDP 1790-2009

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