Excerpt from "Financial Market Snapshot October 2016" do Antony Mueller
Expect more troubles to come
Stock markets in the industrialized countries, particularly in the United States and Germany, have reached extreme valuations – mainly due to the lack of alternative sources of revenue. The risk is rising that some singular event - for example, the collapse of a major bank - will provoke a stock market crash. Beyond this possibility, it must be taken almost for granted that global financial markets will suffer severe decline when finally interest should rise. Such an increase of interest rate may actually also happen without a move by the central banks when price inflation returns and nominal market interest adapt accordingly.
Expect more troubles to come
Stock markets in the industrialized countries, particularly in the United States and Germany, have reached extreme valuations – mainly due to the lack of alternative sources of revenue. The risk is rising that some singular event - for example, the collapse of a major bank - will provoke a stock market crash. Beyond this possibility, it must be taken almost for granted that global financial markets will suffer severe decline when finally interest should rise. Such an increase of interest rate may actually also happen without a move by the central banks when price inflation returns and nominal market interest adapt accordingly.
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