Perspectivas 2015 Boletim de Conjuntura do DEE da UFS
9 de Dezembro de 2014
Áudio Podcast e Data Show
sexta-feira, 12 de dezembro de 2014
quinta-feira, 11 de dezembro de 2014
50 passos como melhorar suas finanças
50 ways to improve your finances in 2015
By Kimberly Palmer 2 hours ago
The new year is the perfect time to hit "refresh" on your finances. Whether you need to update your insurance, revamp your budget or scale back some shopping habits, take some time to consider these 50 action steps. They can help you improve your finances over the next 12 months.
1. Decide on financial goals.
For some people, there's nothing more appealing than saving for a three-bedroom house with a white picket fence. Others dream of taking a trip around the world or a sabbatical from work. Choosing your money goals makes it easier to work toward them.
terça-feira, 9 de dezembro de 2014
Dívida pública brasileira - bem maior que a cifra oficial
Brazil’s public debt: bigger than you think
Brazilian officials are accustomed to shrugging off the country’s debt levels by comparing them with those of much more heavily indebted Europe.
Although this misses the point – Brazil’s public debt is more burdensome than in most other countries because it has some of the highest interest rates in the world – the argument is doubly wrong if a new study by Moody’s is to be believed.
The Moody’s paper, For Latin American Sovereigns, Hidden Liabilities Add to Credit Risk, shows that Brazil’s government debt is equal to 100 per cent of GDP when indirect debt, such as that from pension schemes or guarantees for state-owned companies and banks, are included.
Mais
Although this misses the point – Brazil’s public debt is more burdensome than in most other countries because it has some of the highest interest rates in the world – the argument is doubly wrong if a new study by Moody’s is to be believed.The Moody’s paper, For Latin American Sovereigns, Hidden Liabilities Add to Credit Risk, shows that Brazil’s government debt is equal to 100 per cent of GDP when indirect debt, such as that from pension schemes or guarantees for state-owned companies and banks, are included.
Mais
segunda-feira, 8 de dezembro de 2014
domingo, 7 de dezembro de 2014
Quebrar o termômetro para não mostrar a febre
A contabilidade criativa como um programa de vida
Por Guy Franco | Guy Franco – sex, 5 de dez de 2014
Para não ser punida pela Lei de Responsabilidade Fiscal, devido ao descumprimento da meta de superávit primário, a presidente Dilma quer baixar uma medida para que este e outros objetivos evaporem. A ideia é que se não tem como cumprir a meta, ora, que se mude as regras do jogo. Um truque contábil em que o endividamento, magicamente, se transforma em receita. E pronto, problema resolvido; podemos voltar à vida cotidiana e falar da aplicação de hidrogel nas pernas de Andressa Urach.
É como dizem: “Quebrar o termômetro para não mostrar a febre”, ou algo assim. Ou como eu digo: “Rebaixar Plutão à categoria de planeta-anão não o fez desaparecer do Sistema Solar”.
Eis a doutrina econômica desse governo: maquiar os dados para ver se cola que os problemas sumiram. Fica a ideia para os cursos de graduação em economia: incluir a matéria de Contabilidade Criativa I e II na grade curricular.
sábado, 6 de dezembro de 2014
Meta de inflação do Brasil
Brazil: the myth of the inflation target
Samantha PearsonOfficially, the Brazilian central bank’s annual inflation target has been 4.5 per cent ever since 2005. However, in reality, inflation data show Brazil has actually been working with a target closer to 6 per cent for the past few years.
Mais
sexta-feira, 5 de dezembro de 2014
Brasil na estagflação
O que fazer quando a economia está na estagflação (veja fig
1)? Como nem a política fiscal nem a política monetária funciona mais, a
política macroeconômica precisa, como primeiro passo, se concentrar a estabelecer
confiança e remover obstáculos que atrapalham a destruição criativa. Liberar o
espírito empreendedor é a chave. Por algum tempo a estabilidade macroeconômica
(ajuste fiscal, metas de inflação) entrem na segunda fila. Para sair da
estagflação (veja fig 2) requer fortalecer as forças produtivas e promover o
crescimento dos fatores de produção pela acumulação de capital e pelo aumento
da eficiência.
quinta-feira, 4 de dezembro de 2014
China passa Estados Unidos
It’s official: America is now No. 2
By Brett Arends
And throw away that big, fat styrofoam finger while you’re about it.
There’s no easy way to say this, so I’ll just say it: We’re no longer No. 1. Today, we’re No. 2. Yes, it’s official. The Chinese economy just overtook the United States economy to become the largest in the world. For the first time since Ulysses S. Grant was president, America is not the leading economic power on the planet.
It just happened — and almost nobody noticed.
The International Monetary Fund recently released the latest numbers for the world economy. And when you measure national economic output in “real” terms of goods and services, China will this year produce $17.6 trillion — compared with $17.4 trillion for the U.S.A.
Publicações 2014
2014
Publications
Publicações
Veröffentlichungen by
Antony P. Mueller
Antony P. Mueller
Is the Euro a Failure?FUNAG Brasilia 2014
Antony P. Mueller
Die Welt blickt auf Brasilien - Sieht
aber nur die Hälfte.Der Hauptstadtbrief Juni 2014
Antony P. Mueller- Towards a New Macroeconomics. From ISLM-AS
and DSGE to GSMS and GSMS-
SSSSRN February 2014
PHILOSOPHY & METHODOLOGY
OF ECONOMICS eJOURNALVol. 5, No. 10: Mar 10, 2014
MACROECONOMICS: AGGREGATIVE
MODELS
eJOURNALVol. 7, No. 14: Mar 10, 2014
- Bridging the Gap betweenthe Short and the Long Run in Macroeconomics: Outline of the
GSMS-SS Model of Economic
Growth and the Business CycleSSRN February 2014
ECONOMIC GROWTH
eJOURNALVol. 6, No. 22: Feb 27, 2014
MACROECONOMICS: PRICES,
BUSINESS FLUCTUATIONS, &
CYCLES eJOURNALVol. 7, No. 29: Mar 4, 2014
MACROECONOMICS:
MONETARY & FISCAL POLICIES
eJOURNALVol. 7, No. 29: Feb 27, 2014
Antony P. Mueller- Beyond Keynes and the Classics.Outline of the Goods Side/Money Side
Model of the Business Cycle and
Macroeconomic Configurations
SSRN January 20, 2014
ECONOMIC GROWTH
eJOURNALVol. 6, No. 12: Feb 4, 2014
MONETARY ECONOMICS eJOURNALVol. 6, No. 18: Feb 5, 2014
ECONOMETRIC MODELING:
MACROECONOMICS
eJOURNALVol. 4, No. 19: Feb 3, 2014
MACROECONOMICS: PRICES,
BUSINESS FLUCTUATIONS, &
CYCLES eJOURNALVol. 7, No. 16: Feb 5, 2014
MACROECONOMICS: AGGREGATIVE
MODELS
eJOURNALVol. 7, No. 9: Feb 3, 2014
Antony P. Mueller- Mises’ Plan of an “Eastern European Democratic Union” (EDU) – A Solution for the Ukrainian Crisis?Mises Canada
March 31st, 2014
Antony P. MuellerMisesowski plan Wschodnioeuropejskiej Unii Demokratycznej rozwiązaniem dla kryzysu ukraińskiego?Instityt Mises Polonia
17/03/2014
Die Renten sind so sicher wie die Politik sie macht.Der Hauptstadtbrief
April 2014
Die Übel des populistischen Staatskapitalismus – das Beispiel Lateinamerika und die Gefahr für DeutschlandMises Institut Deutschland
25. März 2014
Die europäische Schuldenkrise im Lichte der Ökonomik der Ökonomik der internationalen Finanzmärkte.
Mises Institut Deutschland
10. März 2014
Antony P. MuellerBenötigen Finanzmärkte mehr Regulierung?Mises Institut Deutschland
19. Februar 2014
Antony P. MuellerBrasilien in der Falle des Mittleren EinkommensMises Institut Deutschland
3 Fevereiro 2014
Antony P. Mueller:Kapital- oder Liquiditätskrise?Mises Institut Deutschland
17 Januar 2014
Publications
Publicações
Veröffentlichungen by
Antony P. Mueller
Antony P. Mueller
Is the Euro a Failure?FUNAG Brasilia 2014
Antony P. Mueller
Die Welt blickt auf Brasilien - Sieht
aber nur die Hälfte.Der Hauptstadtbrief Juni 2014
Antony P. Mueller- Towards a New Macroeconomics. From ISLM-AS
and DSGE to GSMS and GSMS-
SSSSRN February 2014
PHILOSOPHY & METHODOLOGY
OF ECONOMICS eJOURNALVol. 5, No. 10: Mar 10, 2014
MACROECONOMICS: AGGREGATIVE
MODELS
eJOURNALVol. 7, No. 14: Mar 10, 2014
- Bridging the Gap betweenthe Short and the Long Run in Macroeconomics: Outline of the
GSMS-SS Model of Economic
Growth and the Business CycleSSRN February 2014
ECONOMIC GROWTH
eJOURNALVol. 6, No. 22: Feb 27, 2014
MACROECONOMICS: PRICES,
BUSINESS FLUCTUATIONS, &
CYCLES eJOURNALVol. 7, No. 29: Mar 4, 2014
MACROECONOMICS:
MONETARY & FISCAL POLICIES
eJOURNALVol. 7, No. 29: Feb 27, 2014
Antony P. Mueller- Beyond Keynes and the Classics.Outline of the Goods Side/Money Side
Model of the Business Cycle and
Macroeconomic Configurations
SSRN January 20, 2014
ECONOMIC GROWTH
eJOURNALVol. 6, No. 12: Feb 4, 2014
MONETARY ECONOMICS eJOURNALVol. 6, No. 18: Feb 5, 2014
ECONOMETRIC MODELING:
MACROECONOMICS
eJOURNALVol. 4, No. 19: Feb 3, 2014
MACROECONOMICS: PRICES,
BUSINESS FLUCTUATIONS, &
CYCLES eJOURNALVol. 7, No. 16: Feb 5, 2014
MACROECONOMICS: AGGREGATIVE
MODELS
eJOURNALVol. 7, No. 9: Feb 3, 2014
Antony P. Mueller- Mises’ Plan of an “Eastern European Democratic Union” (EDU) – A Solution for the Ukrainian Crisis?Mises Canada
March 31st, 2014
Antony P. MuellerMisesowski plan Wschodnioeuropejskiej Unii Demokratycznej rozwiązaniem dla kryzysu ukraińskiego?Instityt Mises Polonia
17/03/2014
Die Renten sind so sicher wie die Politik sie macht.Der Hauptstadtbrief
April 2014
Die Übel des populistischen Staatskapitalismus – das Beispiel Lateinamerika und die Gefahr für DeutschlandMises Institut Deutschland
25. März 2014
Die europäische Schuldenkrise im Lichte der Ökonomik der Ökonomik der internationalen Finanzmärkte.
Mises Institut Deutschland
10. März 2014
Antony P. MuellerBenötigen Finanzmärkte mehr Regulierung?Mises Institut Deutschland
19. Februar 2014
Antony P. MuellerBrasilien in der Falle des Mittleren EinkommensMises Institut Deutschland
3 Fevereiro 2014
Antony P. Mueller:Kapital- oder Liquiditätskrise?Mises Institut Deutschland
17 Januar 2014
Política Monetária
An Introduction to Monetary Policy Rules
DOWNLOAD PUBLICATION PDF 
DOWNLOAD PUBLICATION SUMMARY
As policymakers seek to prevent another financial crisis, they are scrutinizing the role the Federal Reserve (Fed) played before and during the 2008 crisis. The Fed currently exercises a great deal of discretion in monetary policy. A key point of debate is whether requiring the Fed to follow a specific rule would be preferable to the Fed’s current broad discretion.
In a new study for the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, scholar Alexander William Salter examines several different proposed rules that the Fed could follow. Salter provides a framework to help policymakers better understand how incentives and information can affect monetary policy and discusses discretion-based and rule-based approaches to monetary policy. He concludes that a rule-based approach is superior and may have been able to prevent the 2008–2009 financial crisis. While Salter does not advocate a particular rule in his study, he presents a framework for policymakers to use as they strive to choose the best monetary policy rule.
quarta-feira, 3 de dezembro de 2014
Apresentações recentes
Modelo GSMS-SS. Uma abordagem
simplificade e abragente para a
análise macroeconômica. SEMAC
2014. UFS 27 de Novembro de 2014
Audio Podcast
Data Show
A crise de 2008. Mito e
realidade. UFPR. Curitiba 18
de Novembro de 2014
Audio podcast
Data Show:"A crise de 2008. Mito e realidade". Curitiba 18 de
Novembro de 2014
I. Semana de Economia UFABC
São Bernardo de Campo 2 de
Outubro de 2014
Palestra de Antony Mueller
"A teoria austríaca dos ciclos de negocios - uma nova abordagem"
Data Show
- IV. Encontro da Escola Austríaca no
Brasil - 6 e 7 de Setembro de 2014
Palestra de Antony Mueller"Macroeconomia Austríaca - Avanço
ou Aberração?"
Data Show
Vídeo Palestra
simplificade e abragente para a
análise macroeconômica. SEMAC
2014. UFS 27 de Novembro de 2014
Audio Podcast
Data Show
A crise de 2008. Mito e
realidade. UFPR. Curitiba 18
de Novembro de 2014
Audio podcast
Data Show:"A crise de 2008. Mito e realidade". Curitiba 18 de
Novembro de 2014
I. Semana de Economia UFABC
São Bernardo de Campo 2 de
Outubro de 2014
Palestra de Antony Mueller
"A teoria austríaca dos ciclos de negocios - uma nova abordagem"
Data Show
- IV. Encontro da Escola Austríaca no
Brasil - 6 e 7 de Setembro de 2014
Palestra de Antony Mueller"Macroeconomia Austríaca - Avanço
ou Aberração?"
Data Show
Vídeo Palestra
terça-feira, 2 de dezembro de 2014
sexta-feira, 28 de novembro de 2014
quinta-feira, 27 de novembro de 2014
Convite para apresentação hoje 17 h
Apresentação do modelo macroeconômico GSMS-SS hoje as 17 h na sala 110 da DID 4 -
não perca
não perca
quarta-feira, 26 de novembro de 2014
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