quarta-feira, 29 de janeiro de 2020

Economia brasileira

Brazil’s Biggest Economic Risk Is Complacency
Jan 29, 2020 OTAVIANO CANUTO
This year can be a decisive one for Brazil’s transition to a more robust and sustainable growth path – but only if the government commits to fiscal and structural reform. If Brazil’s leaders fail to take this opportunity to lay the foundations for long-term prosperity, it may not be long before the economy stalls again.

terça-feira, 28 de janeiro de 2020

O declínio de África do Sul

Transações correntes

Países emissores de divisas internacionais, como os EUA ou os europeus, podem sobreviver a déficits de transações correntes superiores a 7% do PIB; países periféricos, como México e Brasil, ou Argentina, quando passam de 4% já começam a enfrentar fuga de capitais e desconfiança das agências de rating. O México quebrou em 1994 quando seu déficit chegou a 7%; o Brasil ainda está em torno de 3%, mas subindo. Uma grave crise econômica mundial, com origem na China, pode precipitar uma rápida deterioração da sua situação cambial.

segunda-feira, 27 de janeiro de 2020

Emprego


Comércio exterior

O "não-crescimento" da economia soviética

At a time when "distinguished" economists such as John Kenneth Galbraith and Paul Samuelson were praising the central planning regime of the former Soviet Union, G. Warren Nutter of the University of Virginia was conducting his own autopsy of the USSR and found it dead on arrival.
A mere 20 years after Nutter died from cancer (way too young), his words proved to be prophetic as the communist system died a terrible death, leaving hunger and poverty in its wake. Yet, today, we...
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Minhas Publicações 2019

 2019
Books
The Great Financial Crisis of 2007-2008
Volume I 2007
Volume II January - June 2008
Volume III July 2008 - January 2009
Volume IV Analyses - Background - Outlook

Academic Papers
The concept of entrepreneur of Schumpeter in comparison to KirznerRevista Mises Special Issue on Entrepreneurshipi
Vol 7 No 3 (2019): MISES Journal 2019 (sep-dec)
DOI:
doi.org/10.30800/mises.2019.v7.1223
Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)An Evaluation of its Premises and its Political
Consequences (with Samuel Vaz-Curado)
REVISTA MISES August 19, 2019
DOI:
doi.org/10.30800/mises.2019.v7.1211
THE MAGIC MONEY TREE: THE CASE AGAINST MODERN MONETARY THEORYAdam Smith Institute (ASI), London, England
May 20, 2019

Scholarly articles, presentations, re-publications,
and educational videos
Por que a batalha contra a pobreza precisa de lucros empresariais?Medium 26 de dezembro de 2019
More Tears for ArgentinaMedium December 24, 2019
Fooled by Wall StreetNoteworthy December 23, 2019
"BRASILIEN: MIT BOLSONARO KÖNNTE GROSSES ENTSTEHEN" Interview mit Andreas Marquart vom
Ludwig von Mises Institut Deutschland am 13.
Dezember 2019

30 Anos da Queda do Muro de Berlim - O Processo
da Unificação 1989-2019
UFMS Campo Grande, 8 de Novembro de 2019
Data Show
"REVOLUTION AUF SAMTPFOTEN: WIE DER MARXISMUS SEINEN HERRSCHAFTSANSPRUCH DURCHSETZT“22. November 2019 – video de Vortrags am 19.
Oktober 2019  im Hotel „Bayerischer Hof“, München,
bei der  7. Jahreskonferenz des Ludwig von Mises
Institut Deutschland statt. Das Thema lautete: „Logik
versus Emotion. Warum die Welt so ist, wie sie ist“.
Moderne Konjunkturtheorie auf Grundlage der österreichischen Schule der NationalökonomieVortrag an der Universität München am 21. Oktober
2019

MMT - Modern Monetary Theory - Kritik der
sogenannten "Modernen Geldtheorie" Vortrag beim
Scholarium, Wien, Österreich, am 12. Oktober 2019
Data Show
"What's Behind the Cultural Marxism Movement?"
CEVRO Institut (Vysoká škola CEVRO Institut, z.ú.)
Prague, Czech Republic, October 10, 2019
Data Show
The concept of entrepreneur of Schumpeter in comparison to KirznerRevista Mises
Vol 7 No 3 (2019): MISES Journal 2019 (sep-dec)
DOI:
doi.org/10.30800/mises.2019.v7.1223
Brazil: Class, Ethnicity, and PowerPresentation at the 14. annual meeting of the Property
and Freedom Society (PFS) on September 14, 2019 at
the Hotel Karia Princess in Bodrum, Turkey
Video launch October 13, 2019
Die Politische Lage Brasiliens: Ursachen und Auswirkungen der WirtschaftskriseVortrag beim Hayek Gesellschaft Leipzig am 8.
Oktober 2019
Will Robots Replace Human Workers? Let's Hope So.Mises Institute USA
August 30, 2019
Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)An Evaluation of its Premises and its Political
Consequences (com Samuel Vaz-Curado)
MISES August 19, 2019
DOI:
doi.org/10.30800/mises.2019.v7.1211
DER US-DOLLAR REGIERT DIE WELT, ABER NICHT MEHR LANGELudwig von Mises Institut Deutschland
16. August 2019
Dollars and PoliticsNoteworthy August 15, 2019

A Grande Crise Econômica Basileira na Luza da
Teoria Austríaca Moderna
ESAG UdESC Florianópolis, 13 de agosto de 2019
Data Show
Why the Dollar Rules the World — And Why Its Reign Could EndLudwig von Mises Institute USA
August 13, 2019
Por que anarco-capitalismo?Medium 9 de agosto de 2019
As Dez Leis Fundamentais da EconomiaMedium 7 de agosto de 2019
Taxas de câmbio e paridade de poder de compraApresentação para Economia Internacional
30 de Julho de 2019
Phony Economic Growth Stats Conceal Deep Problems on Main StreetMises Institute USA
July 2, 2019
Quanto fascista é a Antifa — quanto de esquerda foi o Nazismo?Medium 24 de julho de 2019
Estadísticas falsas de crecimiento económico ocultan problemas profundos en el Main StreetMises Institute USA
July 2, 2019
A Grande Depressão - Mitos e FatosYouTube Video
1 de Julho de 2019
The “Longest Expansion” Is A Phony Economic GrowthMedium
July 1, 2019
A financial market fairy taleMedium June 27, 2019
DIE NEOMARXISTISCHEN WURZELN DER „MODERNEN GELDTHEORIE“Ludwig von Mises Institut Deutschland
5. Juni 2019
Mais gastos públicos não aceleram o desenvolvimento econômico29 de maio de 2019
Os benefícios do comércio internacionalYouTube Video
4 de Junho de 2019
Las raíces neomarxistas de la teoría monetaria modernaMises Institute USA
May 27, 2019
LA TEORÍA MONETARIA MODERNA — AMENAZA DA PROSPERIDADMedium 30 de Maio 2019
The Neo-Marxist Roots of Modern Monetary TheoryMises Institute USA
May 27, 2019
A financial market fairy taleMedium
May 27, 2019
Από που προέρχεται η ιδέα ότι τα δημοσιονομικά ελλείμματα αυτο-χρηματοδοτούνταιEleytheriagora
25 Μαΐου 2019
Brasil no voo de galinha - uma olhada no passadoMedium
22 de maio de 2019
MMT "Qualifies as the Financial Equivalent to Weapons of Mass Destruction"Mises BlogMises WireMay 20, 2019
tambien en español:
LA TMM CALIFICA COMO EL EQUIVALENTE FINANCIERO A LAS ARMAS DE DESTRUCCIÓN MASIVA
Modern Monetary Theory is no Magic Money TreeMedium May 19, 2019
THE MAGIC MONEY TREE: The case against Modern Monetary TheoryAdam Smith Institute (ASI), London, UK
May 19, 2019
Media Release
Eis a promessa da “Teoria Monetária Moderna”: as utopias são alcançáveis sem consequências nefastasInstituto Mises Brasil (IMB)
13 de maio de 2019
MMT "Qualifies as the Financial Equivalent to Weapons of Mass Destruction"Mises Blog
May 20, 2019
The Left's dangerous new fantasyThe Sunday Telegraph
May 19, 2019
Online version
Labour's money printing schemes will bankrupt us allThe Daily Telegraph
May 18, 2019
A Primer on the Benefits of Global TradeNoteworthy
May 17, 2019
As Promessas Falsas da Moderna Teoria Monetária(junto com Samuel Vaz-Curado)
Medium
May 16, 2019
Eis a promessa da “Teoria Monetária Moderna”: as utopias são alcançáveis sem consequências nefastasInstituto Mises Brasil (IMB)
13 de maio de 2019
Schulden machen reich? Die wirren Versprechen einer „neuen“ GeldtheorieLudwig von Mises Institut Deutschland
10. Mai 2019
Aposentadoria na Alemanha - Lições para o Brasil.Apresentação no evento da Frente
Sergipana pela nova previdência no CDL de Aracaju
em 26 de Abril de 2019

I
s Anarcho-Capitalism Possible?Medium - Noteworthy
April 17, 2019
La austeridad funciona — cuando el mercado se liberaMises español April 15, 2019
Austerity Works — When the Market Is FreedL v. Mises Institute USA April 15, 2019
Porque mais gastos públicos não aceleram o desenvolvimento econômicoMedium 9 de Abril de 2019
Austerity - How it works and when it does notNoteworthy 8 de Abril de 2019
Nur der Kapitalismus kann uns rettenMises Institut Deutschland 3. April 2019
How Countries Fall Into the Welfare TrapMises Podcast March 30, 2019
Cómo caen los países en la trampa de la asistencia socialMises español, March
How Countries Fall Into the Welfare TrapLudwig von Mises Institute USA
March 30, 2019
Only free capitalism will save the millennialsMedium March 29, 2019
Only capitalism will save the millennialsAudio podcast interview with
Death to Tyrants Podcast
Listennotes March 25, 2019
¿Es el marxismo cultural la nueva ideología de América?Misesreport 24 de marzo de 2019
The Next Financial CrisisMedium March 23, 2019
Only Capitalism Will Save the MillennialsFEE Foundation for Economic Education
March 19, 2019
Solo el capitalismo salvará a los millennialsMises Institute español
March 16, 2019
Only Capitalism Will Save the MillennialsMises Institute USA
March 16, 2019
Where Does the Idea that Deficits Don't Matter Come From?Medium March 10, 2019
Escape From the Welfare TrapMedium March 08, 2019
How to be an Intelligent InvestorNoteworthy Journal Medium March 07, 2019
Demokratischer Sozialismus: Wolf im SchafspelzMises Institut Deutschland
6. März 2019
Only Capitalism Will Save the MillennialsNoteworthy Journal Medium February 28, 2019
Are China’s High Currency Reserves a Threat to the United States?Medium February 27, 2019
Dez motivos por que os governos sempre fracassamInstituto Mises Brasil (IMB)
4 de fevereiro de 2019
El socialismo democrático y el socialismo regular tienen el mismo objetivoMises Institute Estados Unidos
Jan 30, 2019
Democratic Socialism and Regular Socialism Have the Same GoalMises Wire
Mises Institute USA
January 29, 2019
The Decline of the Scholar and the Decline of AcademiaMises USA
January 21, 2019
also in
Spanishalso published at Education Newsand at Infowars and Eurasiareview
Der Marshall-Plan: Fakten und MythenMises Deutschland
16. Januar 2019
Evaluando el legado de Angela MerkelMises Institute
Enero 15, 2019
Assessing Angela's Merkel LegacyMises Institute
January 14, 2019
also in
Greek


Books 2018
FUNDAMENTOS DO ANARCO-CAPITALISMO. Uma
Nova Ordem para o Brasil e o Mundo (2018)
Edição Kindle onlineEdição brochura
CAPITALISM BEYOND THE STATE AND POLITICSAmazon KDP July 2018
How Capitalism Creates Wealth and Promotes ProsperityPaperback Edition Amazon KDP
November 17, 2018
Enemies of Prosperity: How Socialism, Interventionism, and the Welfare State Make Us Poor and UnfreePaperback Edition Amazon KDP
November 15, 2018
The Debacle of Economic Stabilization Policies. How Central Bankers and the Government Wreck the Economy.Paperback Edition. Amazon KDP
November 13, 2018

FUNDAMENTOS DO ANARCO-CAPITALISMO. Uma
Nova Ordem para o Brasil e o Mundo
Edição Kindle onlineEdição brochura
CAPITALISM BEYOND THE STATE AND POLITICSAmazon KDP July 2018

Kapitalismus Ohne Wenn und Aber.
Wohlstand durch radikale Marktwirtschaft
Kindle EditionBroschüre
PRINCIPLES OF ANARCHO-CAPITALISM AND DEMARCHYAmzon KDP 2018
Paperback Edition
THE DEBACLE OF ECONOMIC STABILIZATION POLICIES:  How central bankers and the government wreck the economyAmazon KDP 2018
HOW CAPITALISM CREATES WEALTH & PROMOTES PROSPERITYKindle Edition
Amazon KDP 2018
ENEMIES OF PROSPERITY: HOW SOCIALISM, INTERVENTIONISM, AND THE WELFARE STATE MAKE US POOR AND UNFREE Kindle Edition
Amazon KDP 2018

Beyond the State and Politics.
Capitalism for the New Millennium
Amazon KDP 2018
Paperback editionBeyond the State and PoliticsKindle online edition